From The DOE’s Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
4.18.24
Julie Bobyock
On the heels of an atmospheric river that brought destructive flooding to California, another is on the way. This view shows the system developing over the Pacific. Credit: CSU/CIRA & NOAA
Berkeley Lab scientists are investigating the characteristics and impacts of back-to-back atmospheric river events.
In California’s 2022-2023 winter season, the state faced nine atmospheric rivers (ARs) that led to extreme flooding, landslides, and power outages – the longest duration of continuous AR conditions in the past 70 years. Scientists at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (Berkeley Lab) recently conducted a study using machine learning to better understand these complex weather systems, finding that more intense atmospheric rivers are more likely to occur in succession within a short period of time. A recent paper published in Communications Earth and Environment details their findings.
California’s winter climate is largely defined by these atmospheric rivers – long, narrow regions in the atmosphere that transfer water vapor from the tropics, most commonly associated with the West Coast coming from the Pacific Ocean. When they make landfall (i.e. pass over land), they can release massive amounts of rain and snow. The catastrophic environmental and economic effects of AR’s highlight the urgency of studying them, especially as Earth’s climate changes.
“Atmospheric river events are likely to become worse with rising temperatures,” explained Yang Zhou, Earth and Environmental Sciences Area (EESA) scientist and lead author of the publication. “By studying how and why more dense events occur, we can try and help California be better prepared.”
While atmospheric rivers are widely studied, the science behind back-to-back AR events have largely remained a mystery. Zhou, along with Berkeley Lab senior scientists William Collins and Michael Wehner, sought to investigate AR behavior using clusters – groups of AR landfalls that occurred in a specific region over a relatively short period of time. The team used machine learning to identify these clusters, investigating their characteristics, impact, and links to atmospheric circulations.
To do so, the researchers focused on how many AR “days,” which occur when ARs fall over West Coast land and release precipitation, happened over the time period of the cluster. This is called the “cluster density.” For example, a more dense five-day cluster would have four of the five days as AR days, while a less dense cluster would have two of the five days as AR days.
“Our findings show that more intense AR events are more likely to occur with more dense AR clusters,” Zhou explained. “This means that not only is there less time available for the land to recover between events, but that the individual events themselves are more extreme. This makes the overall effect of densely distributed AR clusters even more severe.”
This map shows three back-to-back Atmospheric Rivers (ARs) making landfall over the U.S. West Coast. The map illustrates how much water vapor moves through the atmosphere at a given time and place, with color gradient legend ranging from yellow (less moisture) to dark purple (more moisture). (Credit: Yang Zhou/Berkeley Lab)
The team also studied how cluster density affected the severity of consequences on the land, showing that more dense clusters result in more flooding and damage to infrastructure and ecosystems. This is because the land has less time to recover as heavy rainfall continues to occur with shorter breaks. They also investigated how atmospheric patterns affect clusters, finding that specific atmospheric conditions relating to pressure and winds were more favorable for dense clusters to occur in a warmer world.
Knowing the atmospheric conditions that typically result in dense AR clusters, and that extreme AR events are more likely to occur in AR clusters, can help inform scientists who predict these events years and decades into the future and communities trying to prepare for them.
Analysis was performed at the National Energy Research Scientific Computing Center (NERSC), a DOE Office of Science user facility at Berkeley Lab. The work was supported by the U.S. Department of Energy’s Office of Science.
See the full article here .
Comments are invited and will be appreciated, especially if the reader finds any errors which I can correct.
five-ways-keep-your-child-safe-school-shootings
Please help promote STEM in your local schools.
Bringing Science Solutions to the World
In the world of science, The Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (Berkeley Lab) is synonymous with “excellence.” A number of Nobel prizes are associated with Berkeley Lab. Lab scientists are members of the The National Academy of Sciences, one of the highest honors for a scientist in the United States. A number of our scientists have won the National Medal of Science, our nation’s highest award for lifetime achievement in fields of scientific research. A number of our engineers have been elected to the The National Academy of Engineering, and a number of our scientists have been elected into The Institute of Medicine. In addition, Berkeley Lab has trained thousands of university science and engineering students who are advancing technological innovations across the nation and around the world.
Berkeley Lab is a member of the national laboratory system supported by The DOE through its Office of Science. It is managed by the University of California-Berkeley and is charged with conducting unclassified research across a wide range of scientific disciplines. Located on a 202-acre site in the hills above The University of California-Berkeley campus that offers spectacular views of the San Francisco Bay, Berkeley Lab employs a large number of scientists, engineers and support staff. Technologies developed at Berkeley Lab have generated billions of dollars in revenues, and thousands of jobs. Savings as a result of Berkeley Lab developments in lighting and windows, and other energy-efficient technologies, have also been in the billions of dollars.
Berkeley Lab was founded in 1931 by Ernest Orlando Lawrence, a University of California-Berkeley physicist who won the 1939 Nobel Prize in physics for his invention of the cyclotron, a circular particle accelerator that opened the door to high-energy physics. It was Lawrence’s belief that scientific research is best done through teams of individuals with different fields of expertise, working together. His teamwork concept is a Berkeley Lab legacy that continues today.
History
1931–1941
The laboratory was founded on August 26, 1931, by Ernest Lawrence, as the Radiation Laboratory of the University of California-Berkeley, associated with the Physics Department. It centered physics research around his new instrument, the cyclotron, a type of particle accelerator for which he was awarded the Nobel Prize in Physics in 1939.
LBNL 88 inch cyclotron.
Throughout the 1930s, Lawrence pushed to create larger and larger machines for physics research, courting private philanthropists for funding. He was the first to develop a large team to build big projects to make discoveries in basic research. Eventually these machines grew too large to be held on the university grounds, and in 1940 the lab moved to its current site atop the hill above campus. Part of the team put together during this period includes two other young scientists who went on to establish large laboratories; J. Robert Oppenheimer founded The DOE’s Los Alamos Laboratory, and Robert Wilson founded The DOE’s Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory.
1942–1950
Leslie Groves visited Lawrence’s Radiation Laboratory in late 1942 as he was organizing the Manhattan Project, meeting J. Robert Oppenheimer for the first time. Oppenheimer was tasked with organizing the nuclear bomb development effort and founded today’s DOE Los Alamos National Laboratory to help keep the work secret. At the RadLab, Lawrence and his colleagues developed the technique of electromagnetic enrichment of uranium using their experience with cyclotrons. The “calutrons” (named after the University) became the basic unit of the massive Y-12 facility in Oak Ridge, Tennessee. Lawrence’s lab helped contribute to what have been judged to be the three most valuable technology developments of the war (the atomic bomb, proximity fuse, and radar). The cyclotron, whose construction was stalled during the war, was finished in November 1946. The Manhattan Project shut down two months later.
1951–2018
After the war, the Radiation Laboratory became one of the first laboratories to be incorporated into the Atomic Energy Commission (AEC) (now The Department of Energy . The most highly classified work remained at Los Alamos, but the RadLab remained involved. Edward Teller suggested setting up a second lab similar to Los Alamos to compete with their designs. This led to the creation of an offshoot of the RadLab (now The DOE’s Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory) in 1952. Some of the RadLab’s work was transferred to the new lab, but some classified research continued at Berkeley Lab until the 1970s, when it became a laboratory dedicated only to unclassified scientific research.
Shortly after the death of Lawrence in August 1958, the UC Radiation Laboratory (both branches) was renamed the Lawrence Radiation Laboratory. The Berkeley location became the Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory in 1971, although many continued to call it the RadLab. Gradually, another shortened form came into common usage, LBNL. Its formal name was amended to Ernest Orlando Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory in 1995, when “National” was added to the names of all DOE labs. “Ernest Orlando” was later dropped to shorten the name. Today, the lab is commonly referred to as “Berkeley Lab”.
The Alvarez Physics Memos are a set of informal working papers of the large group of physicists, engineers, computer programmers, and technicians led by Luis W. Alvarez from the early 1950s until his death in 1988. Over 1700 memos are available on-line, hosted by the Laboratory.
The lab remains owned by the Department of Energy , with management from the University of California-Berkeley. Companies such as Intel were funding the lab’s research into computing chips.
Science mission
From the 1950s through the present, Berkeley Lab has maintained its status as a major international center for physics research, and has also diversified its research program into almost every realm of scientific investigation. Its mission is to solve the most pressing and profound scientific problems facing humanity, conduct basic research for a secure energy future, understand living systems to improve the environment, health, and energy supply, understand matter and energy in the universe, build and safely operate leading scientific facilities for the nation, and train the next generation of scientists and engineers.
The Laboratory’s 20 scientific divisions are organized within six areas of research: Computing Sciences; Physical Sciences; Earth and Environmental Sciences; Biosciences; Energy Sciences; and Energy Technologies. Berkeley Lab has six main science thrusts: advancing integrated fundamental energy science; integrative biological and environmental system science; advanced computing for science impact; discovering the fundamental properties of matter and energy; accelerators for the future; and developing energy technology innovations for a sustainable future. It was Lawrence’s belief that scientific research is best done through teams of individuals with different fields of expertise, working together. His teamwork concept is a Berkeley Lab tradition that continues today.
Berkeley Lab operates five major National User Facilities for the DOE Office of Science:
The Advanced Light Source (ALS) is a synchrotron light source with 41 beam lines providing ultraviolet, soft x-ray, and hard x-ray light to scientific experiments.
The ALS is one of the world’s brightest sources of soft x-rays, which are used to characterize the electronic structure of matter and to reveal microscopic structures with elemental and chemical specificity. About 2,500 scientist-users carry out research at ALS every year. Berkeley Lab is proposing an upgrade of ALS which would increase the coherent flux of soft x-rays by two-three orders of magnitude.
Berkeley Lab Laser Accelerator (BELLA) Center
The DOE Joint Genome Institute supports genomic research in support of the DOE missions in alternative energy, global carbon cycling, and environmental management. The JGI’s partner laboratories are Berkeley Lab, the DOE’s Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, the DOE’s Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), the DOE’s Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), and the DOE’s HudsonAlpha Institute for Biotechnology . The JGI’s central role is the development of a diversity of large-scale experimental and computational capabilities to link sequence to biological insights relevant to energy and environmental research. A large number of scientist-users take advantage of JGI’s capabilities for their research every year.
The LBNL Molecular Foundry is a multidisciplinary nanoscience research facility. Its seven research facilities focus on Imaging and Manipulation of Nanostructures; Nanofabrication; Theory of Nanostructured Materials; Inorganic Nanostructures; Biological Nanostructures; Organic and Macromolecular Synthesis; and Electron Microscopy. Approximately 700 scientist-users make use of these facilities in their research every year.
The DOE’s NERSC National Energy Research Scientific Computing Center is the scientific computing facility that provides large-scale computing for the DOE’s unclassified research programs. Its current systems provide over 3 billion computational hours annually. NERSC supports 6,000 scientific users from universities, national laboratories, and industry.
DOE’s NERSC National Energy Research Scientific Computing Center at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory.
NERSC is a DOE Office of Science User Facility.
The DOE’s Energy Science Network is a high-speed network infrastructure optimized for very large scientific data flows. ESNet provides connectivity for all major DOE sites and facilities, and the network transports roughly 35 petabytes of traffic each month.
Berkeley Lab is the lead partner in the DOE’s Joint Bioenergy Institute (JBEI), located in Emeryville, California. Other partners are the DOE’s Sandia National Laboratory, the University of California (UC) campuses of Berkeley and Davis, the Carnegie Institution for Science , and the DOE’s Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL). JBEI’s primary scientific mission is to advance the development of the next generation of biofuels – liquid fuels derived from the solar energy stored in plant biomass. JBEI is one of three new U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Bioenergy Research Centers (BRCs).
Berkeley Lab has a major role in two DOE Energy Innovation Hubs. The mission of the Joint Center for Artificial Photosynthesis (JCAP) is to find a cost-effective method to produce fuels using only sunlight, water, and carbon dioxide. The lead institution for JCAP is the California Institute of Technology and Berkeley Lab is the second institutional center. The mission of the Joint Center for Energy Storage Research (JCESR) is to create next-generation battery technologies that will transform transportation and the electricity grid. The DOE’s Argonne National Laboratory leads JCESR and Berkeley Lab is a major partner.